Brest beat Angers 5–1. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Brest beat Angers 5–1. Brest had 19 shots (9 on target) to Angers' 9 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.4.
Brest 5–1 Angers, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brest 54%, the draw 25% and Angers 21%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.4, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 8–1, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Brest and Angers scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.