Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
43Bolton Wanderers win27Draw30Stoke City win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Stoke City beat Bolton Wanderers 2–1. Bolton Wanderers had 30 shots (5 on target) to Stoke City's 9 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%. On expected goals it was 3.0 to 0.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

Bolton…Full-time statsStoke City
68%Possession32%
3.0Expected goals (xG)0.7
30Shots9
5Shots on target4
23Shots inside box6
6Big chances3
11Corners4
2Saves4
8Fouls9
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Bolton Wanderers win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.2
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
52%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Bolton WanderersBolton WanderersStoke CityStoke City
1.5Goals1.2
16.6Shots14.2
5.5On target5.2
5.4Corners4.9
Bolton WanderersBolton WanderersStoke CityStoke City
1.1Goals0.6
8.1Shots6.9
2.9On target2.6
2.5Corners2.3
Bolton WanderersBolton WanderersStoke CityStoke City
0.5Goals0.7
8.5Shots7.3
2.6On target2.6
2.8Corners2.6

What we said the chances were

Goal before half-time80%
Bolton Wanderers to score78%
2 or more goals76%
Stoke City to score71%
3 goals or fewer70%

First half — what we expected

Bolton Wanderers
65%
to score before half-time
Stoke City
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Bolton WanderersBolton WanderersStoke CityStoke City
64%7+ shots51%
42%9+ shots29%
74%2+ shots on target69%
33%4+ shots on target27%
66%2+ corners62%
26%4+ corners23%

League position

Stoke City in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jul 2024Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Stoke City
Dec 2018Bolton Wanderers 0–0 Stoke City
Oct 2018Stoke City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers
Jul 2017Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City
May 2012Stoke City 2–2 Bolton Wanderers
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Bolton Wanderers form →Stoke City form →

Common questions

Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Stoke City beat Bolton Wanderers 2–1. Bolton Wanderers had 30 shots (5 on target) to Stoke City's 9 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%. On expected goals it was 3.0 to 0.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 43%, the draw 27% and Stoke City 30%.

What were the stats in Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.7, Shots 30–9, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 23–6, Big chances 6–3, Corners 11–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Yes — both Bolton Wanderers and Stoke City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.