Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough prediction — Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK
Blackburn Rovers 28Draw 29Middlesbrough 43
The call
72%
Middlesbrough or draw
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.

Blackburn…Full-time statsMiddlesbrough
29%Possession71%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.3
6Shots22
5Shots on target3
5Shots inside box13
3Big chances1
2Corners10
2Saves2
9Fouls10
3Offsides3
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultMiddlesbrough 43%Blackburn Rovers (28% called)
Total goals2.43
Both teams to score49%Yes
Model callX2 72%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals77%
Middlesbrough to score75%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Blackburn Rovers to score65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BLA 2 · D 2 · MID 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Middlesbrough
Dec 2025Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers
Apr 2025Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Middlesbrough
Jan 2025Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 28%, the draw 29% and Middlesbrough 43%.

What were the stats in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.3, Shots 6–22, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–10, Saves 2–2, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Middlesbrough 43%, it finished Blackburn Rovers (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said X2 72%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Blackburn Rovers form →Middlesbrough form →