Birmingham City vs Bristol City prediction — Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK
Birmingham City 50Draw 27Bristol City 23
The call
77%
Birmingham City or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Birmingham City at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

Birmingham…Full-time statsBristol City
65%Possession35%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.4
8Shots14
2Shots on target6
6Shots inside box12
3Big chances4
7Corners3
4Saves1
13Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBirmingham City 50%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score49%Yes
Model call1X 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Birmingham City to score79%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Bristol City to score62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BIR 2 · D 1 · BRI 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026Birmingham City 2–1 Bristol City
Oct 2025Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham City
Dec 2023Birmingham City 0–0 Bristol City
Aug 2023Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Birmingham City vs Bristol City?

Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Birmingham City at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Birmingham City vs Bristol City?

Birmingham City 2–2 Bristol City, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Birmingham City 50%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 23%.

What were the stats in Birmingham City vs Bristol City?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 6–12, Big chances 3–4, Corners 7–3, Saves 4–1, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Birmingham City vs Bristol City?

Yes — both Birmingham City and Bristol City scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Birmingham City vs Bristol City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Birmingham City 50%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Birmingham City form →Bristol City form →