Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Birmingham City at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Birmingham City at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
Birmingham City 2–2 Bristol City, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Birmingham City 50%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 23%.
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 6–12, Big chances 3–4, Corners 7–3, Saves 4–1, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Birmingham City and Bristol City scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Birmingham City 50%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.