Birmingham City vs Brentford prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 20:00 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 20:00 UK
Birmingham City 18Draw 23Brentford 59
The call
82%
Brentford or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–6

How it finished

Brentford beat Birmingham City 6–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 17 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.1.

Birmingham…Full-time statsBrentford
31%Possession69%
0.5Expected goals (xG)2.1
8Shots17
2Shots on target8
2Shots inside box13
1Big chances2
4Corners6
2Saves1
9Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBrentford 59%Brentford (59% called)
Total goals2.97
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model callX2 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Brentford to score86%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals66%
Birmingham City to score62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BIR 2 · D 3 · BRE 0
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2021Brentford 0–0 Birmingham City
Sept 2020Birmingham City 1–0 Brentford
Feb 2020Birmingham City 1–1 Brentford
Aug 2019Brentford 0–1 Birmingham City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Birmingham City vs Brentford?

Brentford beat Birmingham City 6–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 17 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.1.

What was the final score in Birmingham City vs Brentford?

Birmingham City 1–6 Brentford, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Birmingham City 18%, the draw 23% and Brentford 59%.

What were the stats in Birmingham City vs Brentford?

Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–2.1, Shots 8–17, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 2–13, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–6, Saves 2–1, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Birmingham City vs Brentford?

Yes — both Birmingham City and Brentford scored, finishing 1–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Birmingham City vs Brentford right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Brentford 59%, it finished Brentford (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said X2 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Birmingham City form →Brentford form →