The chances
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
Benfica · last 6
Gil Vicente · last 6
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
League position
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Bawler's model rates this match: Benfica are favoured (66% win probability vs 13% for Gil Vicente, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Benfica 2-0 Gil Vicente (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Benfica 66%, the draw 21% and Gil Vicente 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Benfica expecting 2.08 goals and Gil Vicente 0.80.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 55%.