Netherlands: EredivisieSaturday 29 Aug, 16:45 UTC

AZ Alkmaar vGo Ahead Eagles

Most likely scoreline
2–0
11% of the time · 3.31 goals expected
AZ Alkmaar 69%Draw 20%Go Ahead Eagles 10%
How we get there
AZ AlkmaarstepGo Ahead Eagles
2.44Base xG · rolling 26-match0.87
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.44Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.87

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

AZ Alkmaar average 6.6 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Go Ahead Eagles average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
3
1
1
9
8
3
1
2
11
9
4
1
3
9
8
3
1
4
5
5
2
1
5
3
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

AZ Alkmaar fixtures & form →Go Ahead Eagles fixtures & form →

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: AZ Alkmaar 69% · draw 20% · Go Ahead Eagles 10%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

AZ Alkmaar predictions & form →Go Ahead Eagles predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.