Austin FC vs FC Dallas prediction — MLS · Mon 17 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Mon 17 Aug · 01:30 UK
Austin FC 28Draw 30FC Dallas 41
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

FC Dallas beat Austin FC 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Austin FC had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Dallas' 15 (6), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.0.

Austin FCFull-time statsFC Dallas
64%Possession36%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.0
9Shots15
4Shots on target6
6Shots inside box11
1Big chances3
7Corners4
4Saves3
12Fouls17
2Offsides2
3Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Dallas 41%FC Dallas (41% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Dallas to score80%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Austin FC to score72%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AUS 0 · D 1 · DAL 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Aug 2026Austin FC 1–2 FC Dallas
Sept 2025FC Dallas 2–0 Austin FC
Aug 2025Austin FC 1–1 FC Dallas
Jul 2024FC Dallas 3–1 Austin FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Austin FC vs FC Dallas?

FC Dallas beat Austin FC 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Austin FC had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Dallas' 15 (6), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Austin FC vs FC Dallas?

Austin FC 1–2 FC Dallas, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 28%, the draw 30% and FC Dallas 41%.

What were the stats in Austin FC vs FC Dallas?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.0, Shots 9–15, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 1–3, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–3, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–4.

Did both teams score in Austin FC vs FC Dallas?

Yes — both Austin FC and FC Dallas scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Austin FC vs FC Dallas right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Dallas 41%, it finished FC Dallas (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Austin FC form →FC Dallas form →