Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction — MLS · Mon 24 Aug · 00:00 UK

MLS · Mon 24 Aug · 00:00 UK
Atlanta United FC 59Draw 22Sporting Kansas City 19
The call
83%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Atlanta United FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.7.

Atlanta…Full-time statsSporting…
49%Possession51%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.7
8Shots8
3Shots on target1
7Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
2Corners6
0Saves1
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAtlanta United FC 59%Atlanta United FC (59% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 83%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Atlanta United FC to score87%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Sporting Kansas City to score68%
Over 2.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATL 2 · D 1 · SPO 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2022Atlanta United 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
May 2019Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Atlanta United
May 2018Atlanta United 0–2 Sporting Kansas City
Aug 2017Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Atlanta United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Atlanta United FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Atlanta United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 59%, the draw 22% and Sporting Kansas City 19%.

What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.7, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–6, Saves 0–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Yes — both Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlanta United FC 59%, it finished Atlanta United FC (59% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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