How it finished
Al Nassr beat Abha 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 19 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 5 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Nassr vs Abha?
Al Nassr beat Abha 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 19 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 5 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Al Nassr vs Abha?
Al Nassr 2–1 Abha, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Nassr 75%, the draw 16% and Abha 8%.
What were the stats in Al Nassr vs Abha?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.3, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 12–1, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–1, Saves 1–4, Fouls 16–8, Offsides 4–4, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Al Nassr vs Abha?
Yes — both Al Nassr and Abha scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Nassr vs Abha right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 75%, it finished Al Nassr won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished Yes.