Pre-match, Bawler had Al Khaleej at 17%, draw at 21%, Al Nassr at 62%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-1. The model's headline call was Al Nassr to win.
Match underperformed xG by 1.1 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.