Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 16:45 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 16:45 UK
Al Faisaly 32Draw 24Al Ittihad 44
Our call before kickoff
68%
Al Ittihad or draw
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

Al Ittihad beat Al Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ittihad in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Al Faisaly had 10 shots (2 on target) to Al Ittihad's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.

Al FaisalyFull-time statsAl Ittihad
46%Possession54%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.3
10Shots12
2Shots on target4
5Shots inside box4
2Big chances2
4Corners3
1Saves1
8Fouls13
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Ittihad or draw 68%Al Ittihad won (44% called)
Total goals3.44
Both teams to score67%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al FaisalyAl Ittihad
1.6
Goals+0.3
1.9
11.2
Shots+5.7
16.9
2.9
On target+3.9
6.8
2.0
Corners+4.0
6.0
Al FaisalyAl Ittihad
0.5
Goals
0.6
5.2
Shots+2.4
7.6
1.4
On target+1.8
3.2
0.9
Corners+1.9
2.8
Al FaisalyAl Ittihad
1.0
Goals+0.3
1.3
6.0
Shots+3.3
9.3
1.5
On target+2.1
3.6
1.0
Corners+2.1
3.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals85%
Al Ittihad to score84%
Al Faisaly to score79%
Over 2.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Al Faisaly
54%
to score before half-time
Al Ittihad
56%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Al FaisalyAl Ittihad
5.21st-half shots7.6
1.41st-half shots on target3.2
0.91st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

29%Chance of 7+ shots59%
13%Chance of 9+ shots36%
39%Chance of 2+ shots on target79%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target39%
24%Chance of 2+ corners72%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Faisaly5.26.0
Shots · Al Ittihad7.69.3
Shots on target · Al Faisaly1.41.5
Shots on target · Al Ittihad3.23.6
Corners · Al Faisaly0.91.0
Corners · Al Ittihad2.83.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Faisaly form (last 6)L D L D D L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Faisaly 1 · Draws 1 · Al Ittihad 3
Al Ittihad in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2024Al-Faisaly 0–4 Al Ittihad
Jan 2022Al Ittihad 1–0 Al-Faisaly
Aug 2021Al-Faisaly 1–2 Al Ittihad
Feb 2021Al Ittihad 1–3 Al-Faisaly
Nov 2020Al-Faisaly 1–1 Al Ittihad
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Al Ittihad beat Al Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ittihad in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Al Faisaly had 10 shots (2 on target) to Al Ittihad's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Al Faisaly 1–3 Al Ittihad, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Faisaly 32%, the draw 24% and Al Ittihad 44%.

What were the stats in Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 5–4, Big chances 2–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Yes — both Al Faisaly and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Ittihad right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ittihad or draw 68%, it finished Al Ittihad won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Faisaly form →Al Ittihad form →