Al Ittihad beat Al Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ittihad in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Al Faisaly had 10 shots (2 on target) to Al Ittihad's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Ittihad beat Al Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ittihad in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Al Faisaly had 10 shots (2 on target) to Al Ittihad's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
Al Faisaly 1–3 Al Ittihad, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Faisaly 32%, the draw 24% and Al Ittihad 44%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 5–4, Big chances 2–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both Al Faisaly and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ittihad or draw 68%, it finished Al Ittihad won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.