Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 16 Aug · 15:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 16 Aug · 15:45 UK
Ajax Amsterdam 57Draw 25Heerenveen 17
The call
88%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Ajax Amsterdam and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Ajax Amsterdam at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAjax Amsterdam 57%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.24
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 88%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Ajax Amsterdam to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Heerenveen to score67%
Over 2.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AJA 2 · D 2 · HEE 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026SC Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax
Nov 2025Ajax 1–1 SC Heerenveen
Jan 2025SC Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax
Aug 2024Ajax 1–0 SC Heerenveen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen?

Ajax Amsterdam and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Ajax Amsterdam at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4.

What was the final score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen?

Ajax Amsterdam 2–2 Heerenveen, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 57%, the draw 25% and Heerenveen 17%.

Did both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen?

Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and Heerenveen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Ajax Amsterdam 57%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 88%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Ajax Amsterdam form →Heerenveen form →