FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 06 August 2026
Ajax Amsterdam 3–1 ShelbourneMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 06 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Ajax Amsterdam at 40%, draw at 28%, Shelbourne at 32%. The match ended 3-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Ajax Amsterdam.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Amsterdam win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Shelbourne win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Ajax Amsterdam or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost