Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 54%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
AJ Auxerre 1–3 Angers, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AJ Auxerre 48%, the draw 28% and Angers 24%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 3–7, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Yes — both AJ Auxerre and Angers scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AJ Auxerre 48%, it finished Angers (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.