France: Ligue 1Saturday 29 Aug, 18:45 UTC

AJ Auxerre vAngers

Most likely scoreline
10
13% of the time · 2.49 goals expected
AJ Auxerre 50%Draw 31%Angers 19%
How we get there
AJ AuxerrestepAngers
1.60Base xG · rolling 26-match0.90
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.60Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.90

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Auxerre average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Angers average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
7
3
1
1
13
12
5
2
2
11
9
4
1
3
6
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Auxerre vs Angers — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 3 May 2026, Auxerre have won 1, Angers have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
3 May 2026Auxerre 31 AngersFRANCE: Ligue 1

The model's verdict for this fixture: Auxerre 50% · draw 31% · Angers 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.