AJ Auxerre vs Angers prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK
AJ Auxerre 48Draw 28Angers 24
The call
76%
AJ Auxerre or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

AJ AuxerreFull-time statsAngers
60%Possession40%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.6
19Shots15
7Shots on target6
9Shots inside box11
3Big chances2
7Corners10
3Saves7
16Fouls6
1Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAJ Auxerre 48%Angers (24% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score49%Yes
Model call1X 76%Missed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
AJ Auxerre to score78%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Angers to score63%

First half — what we expected

AJ AuxerreBefore half-timeAngers
39%Chance to score24%
6.3Expected shots4.3
2.2Expected shots on target1.8
2.3Expected corners1.2
73%Chance of 5+ shots42%
44%Chance of 7+ shots16%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target27%
88%Chance of 1+ corners66%
40%Chance of 3+ corners13%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 54%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Auxerre 3–1 Angers
Nov 2025Angers 2–0 Auxerre
Jan 2025Angers 2–0 Auxerre
Nov 2024Auxerre 1–0 Angers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AJ Auxerre vs Angers?

Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

What was the final score in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?

AJ Auxerre 1–3 Angers, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AJ Auxerre 48%, the draw 28% and Angers 24%.

What were the stats in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 3–7, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?

Yes — both AJ Auxerre and Angers scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AJ Auxerre vs Angers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AJ Auxerre 48%, it finished Angers (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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