How it finished
Fortuna Sittard beat ADO Den Haag 3–2. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 8 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard beat ADO Den Haag 3–2. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 8 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.
What was the final score in ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with ADO Den Haag 34%, the draw 25% and Fortuna Sittard 41%.
What were the stats in ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.6, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–0, Saves 2–1, Fouls 17–16, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Yes — both ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fortuna Sittard or draw 66%, it finished Fortuna Sittard won (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.