1. FC Union Berlin beat SV Elversberg 1–0. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (7 on target) to SV Elversberg's 7 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
1. FC Union Berlin beat SV Elversberg 1–0. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (7 on target) to SV Elversberg's 7 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.
1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with 1. FC Union Berlin 43%, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 32%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.2, Shots 19–7, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 2–5, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 3–7, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so SV Elversberg failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.