FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Friday, 30 October 2026

SV Elversberg 4–1 MainzMatch recap · Friday, 30 October 2026

SV Elversberg
4–1
SV Elversberg win
Mainz

Pre-match probability vs result

SV Elversberg win
36%
Result
Draw
24%
Mainz win
40%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.7 – 1.8
Total 3.5
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.2
From the match itself

The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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