World Cup 2026 · Group B
Out · Quarter-finals
Out · Quarter-finalsSwitzerland at World Cup 2026
Knocked out at Quarter-finals — how their tournament played out
FIFA rank
#15
Official ranking
Knocked out
Quarter-finals
How far they got
Bawler's full forecast for Switzerland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group B alongside Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Qatar. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Switzerland's path to the trophy
Probability Switzerland reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
94.5%
Round of 16
100.0%
Quarter-finals
100.0%
Semi-finals
0.00%
Final
0.00%
Win it all
0.00%
Group B
Group B forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | #15 | 94.5% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Canada | #48 | 90.1% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Qatar | #59 | 15.1% | 48.8% | 29.3% | 11.0% | 0.20% |
 Bosnia & Herzegovina | #62 | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
Switzerland's World Cup fixtures
6 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.
13 Jun, 20:00FT
Qatar v Switzerland1–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals72%
18 Jun, 20:00FT
Switzerland v Bosnia-Herzegovina4–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals72%
24 Jun, 20:00FT
Switzerland v Canada2–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals81%
03 Jul, 04:00FT
Switzerland v Algeria2–0
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals71%
07 Jul, 21:00FT
Switzerland v Colombia0–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals71%
12 Jul, 02:00FT
Argentina v Switzerland1–1
High confidence: 1X80%