World Cup 2026 · Group K
Out · Round of 16
Out · Round of 16Colombia at World Cup 2026
Knocked out at Round of 16 — how their tournament played out
FIFA rank
#13
Official ranking
Knocked out
Round of 16
How far they got
Bawler's full forecast for Colombia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group K alongside Portugal, DR Congo, and Uzbekistan. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Colombia's path to the trophy
Probability Colombia reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
75.1%
Round of 16
100.0%
Quarter-finals
0.00%
Semi-finals
0.00%
Final
0.00%
Win it all
0.00%
Group K
Group K forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portugal | #6 | 92.7% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Colombia | #13 | 75.1% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Uzbekistan | #60 | 32.0% | 64.3% | 45.1% | 22.7% | 0.99% |
 DR Congo | #57 | 0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
Colombia's World Cup fixtures
5 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.
18 Jun, 03:00FT
Uzbekistan v Colombia1–3
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals73%
24 Jun, 03:00FT
Colombia v Congo DR1–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals76%
28 Jun, 00:30FT
Colombia v Portugal0–0
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals71%
04 Jul, 02:30FT
Colombia v Ghana1–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals77%
07 Jul, 21:00FT
Switzerland v Colombia0–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals71%