World Cup 2026 · Group K
Uzbekistan at World Cup 2026
Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments
FIFA rank
#60
Official ranking
Win the group
32.0%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
64.3%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.99%
Lift the trophy
Tournament path
Uzbekistan's path to the trophy
Probability Uzbekistan reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
32.0%
Round of 16
64.3%
Quarter-finals
45.1%
Semi-finals
22.7%
Final
6.68%
Win it all
0.99%
Group K
Group K forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portugal | #6 | 92.7% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Colombia | #13 | 75.1% | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Uzbekistan | #60 | 32.0% | 64.3% | 45.1% | 22.7% | 0.99% |
 DR Congo | #57 | 0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Fixtures
Uzbekistan's World Cup fixtures
3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.