Bawler / England: Premier League / West Ham
Team profile · England: Premier League

West Ham Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.30
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.54
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
86%
6/7 calls

West Ham prediction: Bawler's model rates West Ham at 1.30 expected goals scored and 1.54 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No West Ham fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

West Ham sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.30 expected goals a game and conceding 1.54. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on West Ham have been correct 86% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 0D 5L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.9
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How West Ham compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.30
Below average
Goals against
1.54
Leakier than most
Scored1.30
Conceded1.54

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.30 xG per match · -0.16 above the England: Premier League average of 1.46.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on West Ham fixtures (4/4).

📊 West Ham in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.0
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 6.1
🏠 5.1✈️ 4.5
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 15.0
🏠 11.6✈️ 10.2
3.9
On target · per game
faced 5.2
🏠 4.1✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
3-1
vs Portsmouth
🚩 3-7
24 May
3-0
vs Leeds
🚩 6-4
17 May
1-3
@ Newcastle
🚩 1-9
10 May
0-1
vs Arsenal
🚩 4-3
02 May
0-3
@ Brentford
🚩 6-2
25 Apr
2-1
vs Everton
🚩 3-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on West Ham matches
86%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a West Ham fixture, it is right 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on West Ham by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on West Ham fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for West Ham matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INManor SolomonLWfrom Tottenham Hotspur€5.8m
INJoël VeltmanRBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTMateus FernandesCMto Tottenham Hotspur€100m
OUTCrysencio SummervilleLWto Al Hilal€65m
OUTFreddie PottsDMto Club Brugge€10m
OUTAdama TraoréRWto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTCallum WilsonSTto BrentfordFree transfer
OUTCallum MarshallSTto Luton TownUndisclosed
OUTLukasz FabianskiGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMichael ForbesCBto Dundee UnitedFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

West Ham prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly