Bawler / England: Premier League / Tottenham
Team profile · England: Premier League

Tottenham Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.24
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.47
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

Tottenham prediction: Bawler's model rates Tottenham at 1.24 expected goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Tottenham fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Tottenham sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.24 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Tottenham have been correct 67% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 2L
Real goals
1.2 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Tottenham compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.24
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Scored1.24
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.24 xG per match · -0.22 above the England: Premier League average of 1.46.

📊 Tottenham in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.5
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
🏠 6.0✈️ 4.7
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
🏠 13.1✈️ 10.5
4.2
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 4.4✈️ 3.9
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
1-0
vs Everton
🚩 7-7
19 May
1-2
@ Chelsea
🚩 4-3
11 May
1-1
vs Leeds
🚩 14-2
03 May
2-1
@ Aston Villa
🚩 5-5
25 Apr
1-0
@ Wolverhampton
🚩 5-5
18 Apr
2-2
vs Brighton
🚩 7-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Tottenham matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Tottenham fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Tottenham by market
Result50%2/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Tottenham fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Tottenham matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INSandro TonaliCMfrom Newcastle United€108m
INMateus FernandesCMfrom West Ham United€100m
INJan Paul van HeckeCBfrom Brighton & Hove Albion€60m
INMarcos SenesiCBfrom AFC BournemouthFree transfer
INAndrew RobertsonLBfrom LiverpoolFree transfer
INMartin DúbravkaGKfrom BurnleyFree transfer
OUTLuka VuskovicCBto Brighton & Hove Albion€54m
OUTWill LankshearSTto Middlesbrough€12m
OUTYves BissoumaDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTAlejo VelizSTto Bahia€9m
OUTAlfie DevineCMto Preston North End€7m
OUTManor SolomonLWto West Ham United€5.8m
OUTMin-Hyeok YangLWto WesterloLoan
OUTRadu DragusinCBto FiorentinaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Tottenham prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly