Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Leuven
Team profile · Belgium: Pro League

Leuven Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
7 settled
Goals for
1.39
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.61
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
86%
6/7 calls

Leuven prediction: for Leuven's next match — Leuven vs Club Brugge on Saturday 15 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Leuven win looks most likely (40%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Leuven sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.39 expected goals a game and conceding 1.61. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Next up is Club Brugge, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 40%.

Next match

Home vs Club Brugge · Saturday 15 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win
40%
Leuven
Draw
31%
Loss
29%
Club Brugge
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 83%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 4L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Leuven compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.39
Below average
Goals against
1.61
Tighter than most
Scored1.39
Conceded1.61

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.69 scored, 1.65 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.39 xG per match · -0.30 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Leuven fixtures (3/3).

📊 Leuven in numbers

43 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.1✈️ 0.9
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 6.2
🏠 5.1✈️ 4.3
12.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
🏠 14.5✈️ 11.2
4.1
On target · per game
faced 5.1
🏠 4.7✈️ 3.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-3
@ Charleroi
🚩 -
09 Aug
1-3
@ Royal Charleroi
🚩 2-6
23 May
0-2
vs Genk
🚩 4-4
23 May
0-2
vs Racing Genk
🚩 4-4
19 May
1-1
@ Charleroi
🚩 6-14
15 May
3-0
vs Antwerp
🚩 1-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Leuven matches
86%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Leuven fixture, it is right 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Leuven by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Leuven fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Leuven matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Leuven prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly