Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Leicester
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Leicester Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.06
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.43
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Leicester prediction: Bawler's model rates Leicester at 1.06 expected goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Leicester fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Leicester sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.06 expected goals a game and conceding 1.43. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Leicester have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 3D 1L
Real goals
0.8 – 0.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Leicester compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.06
Below average
Goals against
1.43
Leakier than most
Scored1.06
Conceded1.43

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.06 xG per match · -0.23 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.29.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Leicester fixtures (3/4).

📊 Leicester in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.2
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.9
🏠 6.1✈️ 4.4
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 12.5
🏠 12.7✈️ 12.0
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 3.6✈️ 4.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-0
vs Northampton
🚩 7-5
08 Aug
1-0
vs Northampton Town
🚩 7-5
02 May
1-0
@ Blackburn
🚩 11-9
24 Apr
1-1
vs Millwall
🚩 2-12
21 Apr
2-2
vs Hull
🚩 9-8
18 Apr
0-1
@ Portsmouth
🚩 7-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Leicester matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Leicester fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Leicester by market
Result75%3/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Leicester fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Leicester matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Leicester prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly