Bawler / ITALY: Serie A / Inter Milan
Team profile · ITALY: Serie A

Inter Milan Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
8 settled
Goals for
1.69
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.02
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
8/8 calls

Inter Milan prediction: Bawler's model rates Inter Milan at 1.69 expected goals scored and 1.02 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Inter Milan fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Inter Milan sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.69 expected goals a game and conceding 1.02. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.50 a game against 1.69 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Inter Milan have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 4D 0L
Real goals
2.5 – 1.1
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Inter Milan compare with the ITALY: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.69
Above average
Goals against
1.02
Tighter than most
Scored1.69
Conceded1.02

The grey line on each bar is the ITALY: Serie A average (1.63 scored, 1.02 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Inter Milan fixtures (6/6).

📊 Inter Milan in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 2.4✈️ 2.0
6.3
Corners · per game
give up 3.0
🏠 7.5✈️ 5.1
17.3
Shots · per game
faced 9.3
🏠 18.6✈️ 16.0
5.9
On target · per game
faced 3.2
🏠 6.6✈️ 5.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
3-3
@ Bologna
🚩 4-1
17 May
1-1
vs Verona
🚩 10-2
09 May
3-0
@ Lazio
🚩 1-5
03 May
2-0
vs Parma
🚩 8-3
26 Apr
2-2
@ Torino
🚩 5-5
17 Apr
3-0
vs Cagliari
🚩 4-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Inter Milan matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Inter Milan fixture, it is right 8 out of 8 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Transfer activity

INAleksandar StankovicDMfrom Club Brugge€23m
INManuel AkanjiCBfrom Manchester City€15m
INJohn StonesCBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INIvan ProvedelGKfrom Lazio€3m
INAlessandro MilaniLBfrom LazioUndisclosed
OUTDenzel DumfriesRMto Real Madrid€20m
OUTEbenezer AkinsanmiroCMto MonzaLoan
OUTSebastiano EspositoSTto Cagliari€4m
OUTFranco CarboniLMto Parma€2.5m
OUTStefan de VrijCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTGiacomo De PieriAMto AscoliLoan
OUTYann SommerGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMatteo CocchiLBto PadovaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Inter Milan prediction markets

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly