Bawler / England: Premier League / Brighton
Team profile · England: Premier League

Brighton Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.57
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.34
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Brighton prediction: Bawler's model rates Brighton at 1.57 expected goals scored and 1.34 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Brighton fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Brighton sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.57 expected goals a game and conceding 1.34. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Brighton have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 3L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Brighton compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.57
Above average
Goals against
1.34
Tighter than most
Scored1.57
Conceded1.34

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Brighton fixtures (4/5).

📊 Brighton in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.6✈️ 1.2
4.9
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.8
13.0
Shots · per game
faced 11.7
🏠 13.7✈️ 12.3
4.6
On target · per game
faced 3.9
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
0-3
vs Manchester United
🚩 0-3
17 May
0-1
@ Leeds
🚩 8-7
09 May
3-0
vs Wolverhampton
🚩 7-1
02 May
1-3
@ Newcastle
🚩 10-2
21 Apr
3-0
vs Chelsea
🚩 6-5
18 Apr
2-2
@ Tottenham
🚩 5-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Brighton matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Brighton fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INLuka VuskovicCBfrom Tottenham Hotspur€54m
INZadok YohannaRWfrom AIK€28m
INPascal StruijkCBfrom Leeds United€23m
INCostinhaRBfrom Olympiacos€13m
INMichael SvobodaCBfrom Venezia€5m
INRodrigo RêgoRWfrom BenficaUndisclosed
INValentin JosephSTfrom Blackburn RoversUndisclosed
OUTJan Paul van HeckeCBto Tottenham Hotspur€60m
OUTCarl RushworthGKto Coventry City€26m
OUTDanny WelbeckSTto Chelsea€5.8m
OUTDiego CoppolaCBto Paris FC€18m
OUTFacundo BuonanotteAMto ElcheLoan
OUTJames BeadleGKto Birmingham CityLoan
OUTJeremy SarmientoLWto Middlesbrough€3.9m
OUTAdam WebsterCBto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Brighton prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly