Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Auxerre
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Auxerre Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.28
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.27
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
4/5 calls

Auxerre prediction: Bawler's model rates Auxerre at 1.28 expected goals scored and 1.27 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Auxerre fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Auxerre sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.28 expected goals a game and conceding 1.27. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.28 expected. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Auxerre have been correct 80% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 1D 0L
Real goals
2.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Auxerre compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.28
Below average
Goals against
1.27
Tighter than most
Scored1.28
Conceded1.27

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.27 xG per match · -0.23 vs league average of 1.50.
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Auxerre in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.1✈️ 0.9
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.1
10.7
Shots · per game
faced 12.0
🏠 11.5✈️ 9.9
3.5
On target · per game
faced 4.7
🏠 3.8✈️ 3.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
2-0
@ Lille
🚩 2-4
10 May
2-1
vs Nice
🚩 10-1
03 May
3-1
vs Angers
🚩 4-6
25 Apr
2-3
@ Lyon
🚩 3-6
19 Apr
2-2
@ Monaco
🚩 3-11
11 Apr
0-0
vs Nantes
🚩 3-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Auxerre matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Auxerre fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Auxerre by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Auxerre fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Auxerre matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INArthur PiedfortDMfrom Westerlo€5.5m
INDanny NamasoAMfrom FC Porto€5m
INRomain FaivreRWfrom AFC BournemouthLoan
INChrist MakossoCBfrom Luton Town€2.3m
INRémy LascaryLWfrom LensLoan
INMamadou DiopGKfrom Grenoble€2m
INXiangxin WeiDMfrom Meizhou Hakka F.C.Undisclosed
INPaul NardiGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTLassine SinayokoSTto Paris FC€8m
OUTGideon MensahLBto 1. FC KölnFree transfer
OUTPaul JolyRWBto Kaiserslautern€1.3m
OUTDonovan LéonGKto AbhaFree transfer
OUTThéo De PercinGKto SC BastiaLoan
OUTSaad AgouzoulCBto SochauxFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Auxerre prediction markets

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly