Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Union Berlin
Team profile

Union Berlin Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 17 August 2026

Shots
12.5
a game
12.9 faced
On target
3.9
a game
4.4 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.7
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Next match
42%
Union Berlin win chance
vs Eintracht Frankfurt · Sat 29 Aug 13:30

Union Berlin prediction: for Union Berlin's next match — Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday 29 Aug, 13:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Union Berlin win looks most likely (42%).

Union Berlin sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.66. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.83 a game against 1.50 expected. Next up is Eintracht Frankfurt, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Union Berlin in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
Home 1.5Away 1.1
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 5.2Away 4.8
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 12.9
Home 13.2Away 11.7
3.9
On target · per game
faced 4.4
Home 4.3Away 3.5
Last 6 games
16 May
4-0
vs Augsburg
4-9
10 May
3-1
@ Mainz
8-7
02 May
2-2
vs FC Koln
2-5
24 Apr
1-3
@ RB Leipzig
4-10
18 Apr
1-2
vs Wolfsburg
11-4
11 Apr
1-3
@ Heidenheim
5-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Eintracht Frankfurt · Saturday 29 Aug, 13:30 UTC

Win
42%
Union Berlin
Draw
28%
Loss
30%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Union Berlin compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.50
Above average
Goals against
1.66
Tighter than most
Record
2W 2D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 1.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.50
Conceded1.66

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.46 scored, 1.78 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Union Berlin fixtures (5/5).

How Bawler has done on Union Berlin

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 6, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sat 16 Mayvs FC Augsburg
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ Mainz
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 02 Mayvs FC Koln
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Aprvs Wolfsburg
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Aprvs St. Pauli
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Mar@ Bayern Munich
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INEmmanuel Latte LathSTfrom Atlanta UnitedLoan
INZeno Van Den BoschCBfrom Royal AntwerpFree transfer
INStanley N'SokiCBfrom Hoffenheim€1.5m
INMarvin FriedrichCBfrom Borussia MönchengladbachFree transfer
OUTDanilho DoekhiCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTChris BediaSTto Al-Nasr SCUndisclosed
OUTAlex KrálCMto FC KøbenhavnFree transfer
OUTLászlo BénesAMto Gent€1.1m
OUTYannic SteinGKto Hansa RostockUndisclosed
OUTTom Wisbereitto AugsburgFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Union Berlin and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly