West Ham United vs 
Portsmouth
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 68% because West Ham's 1.55 xG and dominant 0.56 xG advantage over Portsmouth creates enough attacking pressure for at least two goals.
PortsmouthWest Ham average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Portsmouth average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
West Ham vs Portsmouth — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between West Ham and Portsmouth — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: West Ham 47% · draw 31% · Portsmouth 22%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
PortsmouthModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.