Fulham beat West Ham United 3–2. West Ham United had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 12 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Fulham beat West Ham United 3–2. West Ham United had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 12 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.
West Ham United 2–3 Fulham, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Ham United 39%, the draw 27% and Fulham 34%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.5, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 3–0, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both West Ham United and Fulham scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.