How it finished
Watford beat Southampton 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Watford 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Watford had 16 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 17 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.7, so Southampton created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Watford vs Southampton?
Watford beat Southampton 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Watford 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Watford had 16 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 17 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.7, so Southampton created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Watford vs Southampton?
Watford 2–1 Southampton, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 33%, the draw 28% and Southampton 39%.
What were the stats in Watford vs Southampton?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.7, Shots 16–17, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 6–3.
Did both teams score in Watford vs Southampton?
Yes — both Watford and Southampton scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Watford vs Southampton right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Southampton 39%, it finished Watford (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 63%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.