FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026
Watford 1–0 Crawley TownMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Watford at 40%, draw at 28%, Crawley Town at 32%. The match ended 1-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Watford.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Watford win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Town win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Watford or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost