Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
Toronto FC 34Draw 28Charlotte FC 38
The call
73%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3

How it finished

Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.

Toronto FCFull-time statsCharlotte FC
46%Possession54%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.4
16Shots16
6Shots on target10
10Shots inside box11
1Big chances4
6Corners5
7Saves3
10Fouls10
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCharlotte FC 38%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.66
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 73%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Charlotte FC to score74%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Toronto FC to score71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5TOR 1 · D 0 · CHA 4
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Charlotte FC 3–1 Toronto FC
Jul 2025Charlotte FC 2–0 Toronto FC
May 2025Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC
Apr 2024Charlotte FC 3–2 Toronto FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?

Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?

Toronto FC 3–3 Charlotte FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 34%, the draw 28% and Charlotte FC 38%.

What were the stats in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 16–16, Shots on target 6–10, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–4, Corners 6–5, Saves 7–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?

Yes — both Toronto FC and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlotte FC 38%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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