Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
Toronto FC 3–3 Charlotte FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 34%, the draw 28% and Charlotte FC 38%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 16–16, Shots on target 6–10, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–4, Corners 6–5, Saves 7–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Toronto FC and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlotte FC 38%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.