France: Ligue 1Saturday 29 Aug, 15:15 UTC

Strasbourg vLens

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.08 goals expected
Strasbourg 49%Draw 28%Lens 23%
How we get there
StrasbourgstepLens
1.86Base xG · rolling 26-match1.22
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.86Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.22

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Strasbourg average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Lens average 5.7 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
6
3
1
1
9
10
6
3
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
5
6
4
2
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Strasbourg fixtures & form →Lens fixtures & form →

Strasbourg vs Lens — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Strasbourg and Lens — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Strasbourg 49% · draw 28% · Lens 23%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Strasbourg predictions & form →Lens predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.