Stade Rennais vs Le Mans prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 16:15 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 16:15 UK
Stade Rennais 64Draw 20Le Mans 16
Our call before kickoff
64%
Stade Rennais to win
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Stade Rennais beat Le Mans 3–2. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Stade Rennais had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 12 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

Stade RennaisFull-time statsLe Mans
64%Possession36%
22Shots12
8Shots on target5
8Corners6
3Saves5
15Fouls15
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callStade Rennais to win 64%Stade Rennais won (64% called)
Total goals3.35
Both teams to score58%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Stade RennaisLe Mans
2.3
Goals+1.2
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Stade Rennais to score89%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Le Mans to score65%
Over 2.5 goals64%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Le Mans in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?

Stade Rennais beat Le Mans 3–2. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Stade Rennais had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 12 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

What was the final score in Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?

Stade Rennais 3–2 Le Mans, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stade Rennais 64%, the draw 20% and Le Mans 16%.

What were the stats in Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 22–12, Shots on target 8–5, Corners 8–6, Saves 3–5, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?

Yes — both Stade Rennais and Le Mans scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Stade Rennais vs Le Mans right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stade Rennais to win 64%, it finished Stade Rennais won (64% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Stade Rennais form →Le Mans form →