Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK
Sporting Kansas City 30Draw 31Houston Dynamo FC 39
The call
74%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Houston Dynamo FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 6 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 14 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.9.

Sporting…Full-time statsHouston…
36%Possession64%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.9
6Shots14
4Shots on target4
4Shots inside box8
0Big chances3
2Corners6
1Saves4
10Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHouston Dynamo FC 39%Houston Dynamo FC (39% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score57%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 74%Landed
Second call1X 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Houston Dynamo FC to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Sporting Kansas City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SPO 1 · D 2 · HOU 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Aug 2026Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Oct 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–0 Houston Dynamo FC
Jun 2025Houston Dynamo FC 1–3 Sporting Kansas City
May 2024Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Houston Dynamo FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 6 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 14 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 30%, the draw 31% and Houston Dynamo FC 39%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.9, Shots 6–14, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 0–3, Corners 2–6, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC?

No. It finished 0–2, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Houston Dynamo FC 39%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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