Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Sunday 21 Jun, 16:00 UTC

Spain vs Saudi Arabia — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 77.0% · @ 1.30
VALUE
Both teams to score
Model 52.5% · @ 1.90
DARK HORSE
Under 2.5 goals
Model 24.9% · @ 4.02
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + Spain to win + Nico Williams 1+ Shot on Target + Over 8.5 SOT
Model 40.0% · @ 2.50x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Lamine Yamal
Spain · Barcelona
40%@ 2.50x fair
Anytime Scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal
Spain · Real Sociedad
40%@ 2.50x fair
To Be Booked
Rodri
Spain · Man City
27%@ 3.70x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly