Southampton vs West Ham United prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Southampton 31Draw 26West Ham United 43
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4

How it finished

West Ham United beat Southampton 4–1. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 12 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 18 (8), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.5.

SouthamptonFull-time statsWest Ham…
58%Possession42%
0.8Expected goals (xG)2.5
12Shots18
4Shots on target8
6Shots inside box14
0Big chances4
2Corners5
4Saves3
7Fouls8
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultWest Ham United 43%West Ham United (43% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
West Ham United to score80%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Southampton to score74%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SOU 1 · D 2 · WES 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2025West Ham United 1–1 Southampton
Dec 2024Southampton 0–1 West Ham United
Apr 2023West Ham United 1–0 Southampton
Oct 2022Southampton 1–1 West Ham United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Southampton vs West Ham United?

West Ham United beat Southampton 4–1. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 12 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 18 (8), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.5.

What was the final score in Southampton vs West Ham United?

Southampton 1–4 West Ham United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 31%, the draw 26% and West Ham United 43%.

What were the stats in Southampton vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.5, Shots 12–18, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 6–14, Big chances 0–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Southampton vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Southampton and West Ham United scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said West Ham United 43%, it finished West Ham United (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Southampton form →West Ham United form →