How it finished
Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 1–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 29%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 1. SK Sturm Graz had 19 shots (2 on target) to Fenerbahce's 11 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce?
Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 1–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 29%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 1. SK Sturm Graz had 19 shots (2 on target) to Fenerbahce's 11 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.2.
What was the final score in SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce?
SK Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahce, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with SK Sturm Graz 31%, the draw 40% and Fenerbahce 29%.
What were the stats in SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.2, Shots 19–11, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 7–6, Saves 5–2, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce?
No. It finished 0–1, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 23% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Draw 40%, it finished Fenerbahce (29% called); Total goals — we said 1.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 23%, it finished No; Model call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 51%, it finished Missed.