Match prediction·Turkey: Süper Lig·Monday 17 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
46.1% home28.9% draw25.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
SamsunsporstepGoztepe
1.58Base xG · rolling 26-match0.93
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.58Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.93

Samsunspor average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Göztepe average 3.9 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
8
4
1
1
13
12
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
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5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Samsunspor fixtures & form →Goztepe fixtures & form →

Samsunspor vs Goztepe — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 16 May 2026, Samsunspor have won 1, Goztepe have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
16 May 2026Samsunspor 3–0 GoztepeTurkey: Süper Lig

The model's verdict for this fixture: Samsunspor 46% · draw 29% · Goztepe 25%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Samsunspor predictions & form →Goztepe predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.