Samsunspor vs Goztepe prediction — Süper Lig · Mon 17 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Mon 17 Aug · 19:30 UK
Samsunspor 50Draw 31Goztepe 19
The call
76%
Samsunspor or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3

How it finished

Samsunspor and Goztepe drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 21 shots (3 on target) to Goztepe's 20 (7), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.9.

SamsunsporFull-time statsGoztepe
69%Possession31%
2.7Expected goals (xG)1.9
21Shots20
3Shots on target7
14Shots inside box14
3Big chances3
4Corners8
4Saves0
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSamsunspor 50%Draw (31% called)
Total goals2.56
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model call1X 76%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Samsunspor to score80%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Goztepe to score60%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAM 2 · D 1 · GOZ 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026Samsunspor 3–0 Göztepe
Dec 2025Göztepe 2–0 Samsunspor
Mar 2025Göztepe 2–2 Samsunspor
Sept 2024Samsunspor 4–3 Göztepe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Samsunspor vs Goztepe?

Samsunspor and Goztepe drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 21 shots (3 on target) to Goztepe's 20 (7), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Samsunspor vs Goztepe?

Samsunspor 3–3 Goztepe, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 50%, the draw 31% and Goztepe 19%.

What were the stats in Samsunspor vs Goztepe?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.9, Shots 21–20, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 14–14, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 4–0, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Samsunspor vs Goztepe?

Yes — both Samsunspor and Goztepe scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Samsunspor vs Goztepe right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Samsunspor 50%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Samsunspor form →Goztepe form →