Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 18:45 UK

Q: What was the final score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 39%, the draw 27% and Estrela 34%.

Q: What were the stats in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.9, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 4–14, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Q: Did both teams score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Yes — both Rio Ave and Estrela scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 18:45 UK

Rio Avev

Estrela

39Rio Ave win27Draw34Estrela win

Full time

3–3

Overview1st half

How it finished

Rio Ave and Estrela drew 3–3. Rio Ave had 11 shots (6 on target) to Estrela's 20 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.9.

Rio AveFull-time statsEstrela

38%Possession62%

1.2Expected goals (xG)1.9

11Shots20

6Shots on target6

4Shots inside box14

2Big chances3

4Corners5

2Saves3

16Fouls12

0Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

We predicted

1–0

Likeliest score if Rio Ave win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)

Expected goals

1.5v1.3

2.8 in total

Both teams score

57%

Leans yes

3+ goals

53%

Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Full matchFirst halfSecond half

Rio Ave

Estrela

1.5Goals1.3

15.5Shots14.9

2.1On target5.6

3.3Corners4.2

Rio Ave

Estrela

0.9Goals0.5

7.4Shots6.5

1.0On target2.4

1.6Corners2.0

Rio Ave

Estrela

0.6Goals0.8

8.1Shots8.4

1.1On target3.2

1.8Corners2.2

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals77%

Rio Ave to score77%

Goal before half-time76%

Estrela to score74%

3 goals or fewer69%

First half — what we expected

Rio Ave

58%

to score before half-time

Estrela

42%

to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Rio Ave

Estrela

69%6+ shots58%

45%8+ shots34%

57%1+ shots on target88%

<10%3+ shots on target42%

73%1+ corners81%

22%3+ corners31%

League position

Estrela in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela da Amadora

Oct 2025Estrela da Amadora 1–2 Rio Ave

May 2025Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela da Amadora

Dec 2024Estrela da Amadora 1–0 Rio Ave

Apr 2024Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Rio Ave

Full-time recap →

Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →

Rio Ave

Next up

19 SeptAAlverca0–1 L 11 OctHC.D. Nacional3–2 W 25 OctHFC Famalicao0–4 L

Estrela

Next up

20 SeptHAcadémico de Viseu0–2 L 11 OctAArouca0–1 L 24 OctHCasa Pia0–2 L

All fixtures & results →Rio Ave form →Estrela form →

Common questions

Who won Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave and Estrela drew 3–3. Rio Ave had 11 shots (6 on target) to Estrela's 20 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 39%, the draw 27% and Estrela 34%.

What were the stats in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.9, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 4–14, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Yes — both Rio Ave and Estrela scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.