How it finished
Republic of Ireland and Israel drew 1–1. Republic of Ireland had 16 shots (4 on target) to Israel's 10 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.8.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Republic of Ireland vs Israel?
Republic of Ireland and Israel drew 1–1. Republic of Ireland had 16 shots (4 on target) to Israel's 10 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Republic of Ireland vs Israel?
Republic of Ireland 1–1 Israel, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Republic of Ireland 75%, the draw 17% and Israel 8%.
What were the stats in Republic of Ireland vs Israel?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.8, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Republic of Ireland vs Israel?
Yes — both Republic of Ireland and Israel scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.