What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Republic of Ireland · last 6
Kosovo · last 6
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Republic of Ireland or draw is 72% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Bawler's model rates this match: Republic of Ireland are favoured (44% win probability vs 28% for Kosovo, 29% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Republic of Ireland 1-1 Kosovo (13.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.4.
How does Bawler predict Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Republic of Ireland 44%, the draw 29% and Kosovo 28%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Republic of Ireland expecting 1.37 goals and Kosovo 1.03.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Bawler's model expects 2.4 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 43%.