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Israel vs Austria prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 17 Nov · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 17 Nov · 19:45 UK
VersusAustriaAustria
9Israel win16Draw75Austria win
The call
75%
Austria to win
Likeliest score
0–2
12% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
0.8v2.5
3.3 in total
Both teams score
49%
Leans no
3+ goals
63%
Likely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

IsraelIsraelAustriaAustria
0.8Goals2.5
usually 0.8usually 2.0
10.4Shots10.6
usually 9.5usually 12.3
3.0On target4.1
usually 2.8usually 4.8
3.6Corners3.1
usually 3.3usually 3.7
IsraelIsraelAustriaAustria
0.3Goals1.1
4.7Shots4.9
usually 3.0usually 6.2
1.4On target1.8
usually 0.3usually 1.8
1.7Corners1.5
usually 1.7usually 2.8
IsraelIsraelAustriaAustria
0.4Goals1.4
5.7Shots5.8
1.7On target2.3
1.9Corners1.6

More chances

Austria to score92%
2 or more goals84%
Goal before half-time76%

Israel · last 6

Dv Ireland1–110 shots
Dv Kosovo0–010 shots
Lv Ireland0–38 shots
Lat Austria1–35 shots
Wat Albania1–011 shots
Dat Georgia2–213 shots

Austria · last 6

Dat Kosovo1–113 shots
Dat Ireland2–216 shots
Wv Kosovo3–111 shots
Wv Israel3–119 shots
Lv Spain0–35 shots
Dv Algeria3–310 shots

Head to head

Sept 2026Austria 3–1 Israel
Nov 2021Austria 4–2 Israel
Sept 2021Israel 5–2 Austria
Oct 2019Austria 3–1 Israel
Mar 2019Israel 4–2 Austria

First half — what we expect

Israel
29%
to score before half-time
Austria
67%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

IsraelIsraelAustriaAustria
63%4+ shots65%
34%6+ shots36%
69%1+ shots on target80%
17%3+ shots on target28%
76%1+ corners71%
25%3+ corners20%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Austria to win is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Israel lead 1–0 at half-time28%
Austria lead 1–0 at half-time88%
Goalless at half-time58%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Israel form →Austria form →

Common questions

Who will win Israel vs Austria?

Bawler's model rates this match: Austria are favoured (75% win probability vs 9% for Israel, 16% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Israel vs Austria?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Israel 0-2 Austria (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.3.

How does Bawler predict Israel vs Austria?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Israel 9%, the draw 16% and Austria 75%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Israel vs Austria?

Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 49% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Israel expecting 0.76 goals and Austria 2.50.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Israel vs Austria?

Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.