Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK
Real Salt Lake 44Draw 30Minnesota United FC 26
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 13 shots (7 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 15 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.7.

Real Salt…Full-time statsMinnesota…
57%Possession43%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.7
13Shots15
7Shots on target3
8Shots inside box11
4Big chances4
7Corners10
1Saves7
7Fouls12
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultReal Salt Lake 44%Draw (30% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Real Salt Lake to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Minnesota United FC to score71%
Under 3.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAL 0 · D 3 · MIN 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026Minnesota United 1–1 Real Salt Lake
Aug 2025Real Salt Lake 1–3 Minnesota United
Mar 2025Minnesota United 2–0 Real Salt Lake
Nov 2024Minnesota United 1–1 Real Salt Lake
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?

Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 13 shots (7 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 15 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?

Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FC, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 44%, the draw 30% and Minnesota United FC 26%.

What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.7, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 7–10, Saves 1–7, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?

Yes — both Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Salt Lake 44%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Real Salt Lake form →Minnesota United FC form →