Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction — LaLiga · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK
Real Madrid 69Draw 18Real Sociedad 13
The call
69%
Real Madrid to win
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1

How it finished

Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad 4–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Real Madrid had 20 shots (11 on target) to Real Sociedad's 10 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.6.

Real MadridFull-time statsReal Sociedad
51%Possession49%
3.1Expected goals (xG)0.6
20Shots10
11Shots on target3
14Shots inside box7
5Big chances0
4Corners7
2Saves7
10Fouls8
1Offsides0
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultReal Madrid 69%Real Madrid (69% called)
Total goals3.55
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callHome Win 69%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Real Madrid to score92%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Real Sociedad to score64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MAD 4 · D 1 · SOC 0
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad
Sept 2025Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid
May 2025Real Madrid 2–0 Real Sociedad
Apr 2025Real Madrid 4–4 Real Sociedad
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad 4–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Real Madrid had 20 shots (11 on target) to Real Sociedad's 10 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 69%, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad 13%.

What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–0.6, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 14–7, Big chances 5–0, Corners 4–7, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Yes — both Real Madrid and Real Sociedad scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Madrid 69%, it finished Real Madrid (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 69%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Real Madrid form →Real Sociedad form →