How it finished
Real Madrid beat Málaga 4–0. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Real Madrid had 19 shots (8 on target) to Málaga's 14 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 78%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Real Madrid beat Málaga 4–0. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Real Madrid had 19 shots (8 on target) to Málaga's 14 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Real Madrid 4–0 Málaga, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 74%, the draw 16% and Málaga 10%.
What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.7, Shots 19–14, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 4–0, Corners 9–6, Saves 1–4, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
No. It finished 4–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Madrid vs Málaga right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Madrid 74%, it finished Real Madrid (74% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 74%, it finished Landed.