Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2–1. Rayo Vallecano had 16 shots (2 on target) to Espanyol's 19 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2–1. Rayo Vallecano had 16 shots (2 on target) to Espanyol's 19 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.5.
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rayo Vallecano 54%, the draw 25% and Espanyol 21%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.5, Shots 16–19, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–0, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 5–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.