FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Osasuna 1–1 Rayo VallecanoMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Osasuna win
39%
Draw
27%
Result
Rayo Vallecano win
34%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.